Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 5 Apr 2026

Bahia

WLWWD

Sun, 5 Apr 202623:30

0 : 1

Live

Palmeiras

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

37.3%Bahia29.7%Draw33%Palmeiras

Our prediction

Draw · Bahia

Bahia vs Palmeiras listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence37.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahia 37.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Palmeiras 33%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

BahiaPalmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Bahia2.55
Draw3.2
Palmeiras2.88

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Bahia

Chance37.3%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Palmeiras

Chance33%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.2

BahiaPalmeiras
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Bahia vs Palmeiras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Bahia meet Palmeiras in the Brazil, Serie A on 5 April 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahia vs Palmeiras FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bahia vs Palmeiras?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs Palmeiras?

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahia vs Palmeiras prediction, H2H and stats