Get Premium

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 9 May 2026

Barakaldo

LWLDL

Sat, 9 May 202613:00

2 : 0

Full time

Mérida AD

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

50.9%Barakaldo27.4%Draw21.7%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Draw · Barakaldo

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence50.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Barakaldo 50.9%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Mérida AD 21.7%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

BarakaldoMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Barakaldo1.75
Draw3.25
Mérida AD4.1

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Barakaldo

Chance50.9%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.25

Mérida AD

Chance21.7%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.25

BarakaldoMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 9 May 2026

Barakaldo meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barakaldo at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Barakaldo vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Barakaldo vs Mérida AD?

Barakaldo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats