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Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 9 May 2026

Ponferradina

Sat, 9 May 202617:30

3 : 1

Full time

Real Avilés

Pre-match win probability

49.6%Ponferradina27.5%Draw22.9%Real Avilés

Our prediction

Ponferradina

Ponferradina is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponferradina 49.6%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Real Avilés 22.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

PonferradinaReal Avilés

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Ponferradina1.8
Draw3.25
Real Avilés3.9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Ponferradina

Chance49.6%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.25

Real Avilés

Chance22.9%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Ponferradina at 1.8

PonferradinaReal Avilés
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 9 May 2026

Ponferradina meet Real Avilés in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponferradina at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Ponferradina is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés prediction, H2H and stats