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Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Barcelona

WLLWW

Sat, 28 Feb 202616:15

4 : 1

Full time

Villarreal

WWLWD

Pre-match win probability

70.8%Barcelona15.7%Draw13.5%Villarreal

Our prediction

Home · Barcelona

Barcelona vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence70.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Barcelona 70.8%
  • Draw 15.7%
  • Villarreal 13.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

BarcelonaVillarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%0.9% · 34
1.5 goals29.1% · 1.083.9% · 8
2.5 goals24.5% · 1.288.4% · 3.75
3.5 goals18.2% · 1.7315% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X74.7%
X225.3%

Match result

Barcelona1.33
Draw6
Villarreal7

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance74.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance25.3%
Odds3.25

Barcelona

Chance70.8%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance15.7%
Odds6

Villarreal

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.33

BarcelonaVillarreal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Barcelona vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Barcelona meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 28 February 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barcelona at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 74.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Barcelona vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Barcelona vs Villarreal?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Barcelona vs Villarreal?

Barcelona is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction, H2H and stats