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Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Oviedo

20th in table · 29 pts

DLWLL

Sat, 28 Feb 202621:00

0 : 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

4th in table · 69 pts

WWDLW

Pre-match win probability

20%Oviedo28%Draw52%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Oviedo

Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Oviedo 20%
  • Draw 28%
  • Atletico Madrid 52%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

OviedoAtletico Madrid
Wins
621
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Oviedo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Atletico Madrid0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
      3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

      Both teams to score

      Yes50%
      No50%

      Double chance

      1X37.7%
      X262.3%

      Match result

      Oviedo4.75
      Draw3.4
      Atletico Madrid1.83

      Both teams to score

      Yes50% · 1.91
      No50% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance37.7%
      Odds1.95

      X2

      Chance62.3%
      Odds1.18

      Oviedo

      Chance20%
      Odds4.75

      Draw

      Chance28%
      Odds3.4

      Atletico Madrid

      Chance52%
      Odds1.83

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.33

      OviedoAtletico Madrid
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall28%72%

      Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

      Spain · La Liga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

      Oviedo meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 28 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid?

      Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 52%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.