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Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Bayer Leverkusen

DLWWD

Sat, 28 Feb 202615:30

1 : 1

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

55.5%Bayer Leverkusen23.6%Draw21%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence55.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bayer Leverkusen 55.5%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • FSV Mainz 05 21%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Bayer Leverkusen1.7
Draw4
FSV Mainz 054.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance55.5%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

FSV Mainz 05

Chance21%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 05
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Bayer Leverkusen meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 28 February 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05?

Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction, H2H and stats