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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Borussia Dortmund

LDWWW

Sat, 28 Feb 202618:30

2 : 3

Full time

Bayern München

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

22.5%Borussia Dortmund21%Draw56.5%Bayern München

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence56.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Borussia Dortmund 22.5%
  • Draw 21%
  • Bayern München 56.5%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Borussia DortmundBayern München

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.6% · 1.367.5% · 3.2
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X36.2%
X263.8%

Match result

Borussia Dortmund4.2
Draw4.5
Bayern München1.67

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance36.2%
Odds2.15

X2

Chance63.8%
Odds1.22

Borussia Dortmund

Chance22.5%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance21%
Odds4.5

Bayern München

Chance56.5%
Odds1.67

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

Borussia DortmundBayern München
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall28%72%

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Borussia Dortmund meet Bayern München in the Germany, Bundesliga on 28 February 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München FAQs

4 questions

What time is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München prediction, H2H and stats