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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026

Bayern München

WDDDW

Sat, 17 Oct 202617:30

6 : 1

Full time

RB Leipzig

Pre-match win probability

78.7%Bayern München11.8%Draw9.4%RB Leipzig

Our prediction

Home · Bayern München

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence78.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bayern München 78.7%
  • Draw 11.8%
  • RB Leipzig 9.4%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Goals scored (avg)
3.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bayern München5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 25 OctSC Freiburg1 – 3Bayern MünchenW
  • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
  • 13 OctViking3 – 3Bayern MünchenD
  • 10 OctFC Augsburg2 – 2Bayern MünchenD
  • 18 SeptBayern München7 – 0Union BerlinW
RB Leipzig0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headBayern München 6W · 2D · RB Leipzig 1W · 4.4 goals a game
    • 15 AugBayern München3 – 1RB Leipzig
    • 11 FebBayern München2 – 0RB Leipzig
    • 17 JanRB Leipzig1 – 5Bayern München
    • 22 AugBayern München6 – 0RB Leipzig
    • 3 MayRB Leipzig3 – 3Bayern München
    • 20 DecBayern München5 – 1RB Leipzig

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals0%0.6% · 51
    1.5 goals30.7% · 1.032.1% · 15
    2.5 goals28.2% · 1.125.3% · 6
    3.5 goals23.8% · 1.339.3% · 3.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes68.8%
    No31.2%

    Double chance

    1X80.5%
    X219.5%

    Match result

    Bayern München1.2
    Draw8
    RB Leipzig10

    Both teams to score

    Yes68.8% · 1.36
    No31.2% · 3

    1X

    Chance80.5%
    Odds1.05

    X2

    Chance19.5%
    Odds4.33

    Bayern München

    Chance78.7%
    Odds1.2

    Draw

    Chance11.8%
    Odds8

    RB Leipzig

    Chance9.4%
    Odds10

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.2

    Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack76%24%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model76%24%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall89%11%

    Trends

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Bayern München scored 3.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Bayern München conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: prediction & preview

    Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

    Bayern München meet RB Leipzig in the Germany, Bundesliga on 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.12, about 84.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Bayern München vs RB Leipzig FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

    Kickoff is 17:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

    Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.12 and under 2.5 is 6.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.