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Benfica vs Guimaraes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 21 Mar 2026

Benfica

3rd in table · 80 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 21 Mar 202619:00

3 : 0

Full time

Guimaraes

9th in table · 42 pts

DWLWW

Pre-match win probability

77.6%Benfica14.6%Draw7.9%Guimaraes

Our prediction

Home · Benfica

Benfica vs Guimaraes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 77.6%
  • Draw 14.6%
  • Guimaraes 7.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaGuimaraes
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.9
Wins
2312
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
Guimaraes4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoW
  • 17 OctRecreativa de Lamelas0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.8% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X78%
X222%

Match result

Benfica1.22
Draw6.5
Guimaraes12

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance78%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance22%
Odds3.75

Benfica

Chance77.6%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

Guimaraes

Chance7.9%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.22

BenficaGuimaraes
Recent form66%34%
Attack69%31%
Defence51%49%
Goals model69%31%
Overall91%9%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Benfica scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Benfica conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Benfica vs Guimaraes: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Benfica meet Guimaraes in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 21 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Guimaraes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Guimaraes?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Guimaraes?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.