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Famalicao vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 21 Mar 2026

Famalicao

WWDWL

Sat, 21 Mar 202616:30

1 : 0

Full time

Nacional

LDLLL

Pre-match win probability

58.8%Famalicao24.8%Draw16.4%Nacional

Our prediction

Home · Famalicao

Famalicao vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence58.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Famalicao 58.8%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Nacional 16.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FamalicaoNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X66.4%
X233.6%

Match result

Famalicao1.6
Draw3.8
Nacional5.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance66.4%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.6%
Odds2.25

Famalicao

Chance58.8%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Nacional

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.6

FamalicaoNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Famalicao vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Famalicao meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 21 March 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Famalicao vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Famalicao vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Famalicao vs Nacional?

Famalicao is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Famalicao vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats