Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Benfica

WWDWW

Sat, 25 Apr 202618:00

4 : 1

Full time

Moreirense

WDLLL

Pre-match win probability

85%Benfica9.4%Draw5.6%Moreirense

Our prediction

Home · Benfica

Benfica vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence85%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 85%
  • Draw 9.4%
  • Moreirense 5.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X86.4%
X213.6%

Match result

Benfica1.11
Draw10
Moreirense17

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance86.4%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance13.6%
Odds6.5

Benfica

Chance85%
Odds1.11

Draw

Chance9.4%
Odds10

Moreirense

Chance5.6%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.11

BenficaMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall94%6%

Benfica vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Benfica meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 25 April 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.11. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 85% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Moreirense?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.11. The margin-adjusted share is about 85%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Benfica vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats