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Tondela vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026

Tondela

LDLDL

Sat, 25 Apr 202615:30

0 : 2

Full time

Nacional

WLWLL

Pre-match win probability

34.4%Tondela27.8%Draw37.8%Nacional

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Tondela

Tondela vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 34.4%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Nacional 37.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Tondela2.75
Draw3.4
Nacional2.5

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Tondela

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Nacional

Chance37.8%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

TondelaNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Tondela vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Tondela meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 25 April 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tondela vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tondela vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tondela vs Nacional?

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tondela vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats