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Boston River vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 19 Sept 2026

Boston River

12th in table · 37 pts

DWDWL

Sat, 19 Sept 202616:00

1 : 2

Full time

Progreso

15th in table · 35 pts

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

48.7%Boston River28.2%Draw23.1%Progreso

Our prediction

Boston River

Boston River is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Boston River 48.7%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Progreso 23.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Boston RiverProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.2
Wins
1010
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Boston River4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctCerro Largo2 – 0Boston RiverL
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingW
  • 14 OctBoston River0 – 0CA River PlateD
  • 10 OctWanderers1 – 3Boston RiverW
  • 4 OctBoston River0 – 0JuventudD
Progreso4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
H2H
Head to headBoston River 3W · 2D · Progreso 4W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 22 MarProgreso0 – 1Boston River
  • 30 JanBoston River1 – 2Progreso
  • 1 SeptBoston River2 – 1Progreso
  • 19 JunProgreso2 – 0Boston River
  • 9 MarProgreso2 – 2Boston River
  • 16 OctBoston River1 – 0Progreso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Boston River1.85
Draw3.2
Progreso3.9

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Boston River

Chance48.7%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.2

Progreso

Chance23.1%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Boston River at 1.85

Boston RiverProgreso
Recent form52%48%
Attack52%48%
Defence51%49%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Boston River scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Boston River conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Boston River vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Boston River meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Boston River at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Boston River vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Boston River vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Boston River vs Progreso?

Boston River is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Boston River vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats