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Cerro vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 19 Sept 2026

Cerro

DLWDL

Sat, 19 Sept 202619:30

1 : 2

Full time

Penarol

Pre-match win probability

14.5%Cerro25.2%Draw60.4%Penarol

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence60.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro 14.5%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Penarol 60.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CerroPenarol
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctAtletico Torque3 – 1CerroL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroW
  • 4 OctCerro0 – 2WanderersL
  • 27 SeptJuventud0 – 0CerroD
Penarol0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
    2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1%
    No58.9%

    Double chance

    1X30.6%
    X269.4%

    Match result

    Cerro6.25
    Draw3.6
    Penarol1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1% · 2.25
    No58.9% · 1.57

    1X

    Chance30.6%
    Odds2.5

    X2

    Chance69.4%
    Odds1.1

    Cerro

    Chance14.5%
    Odds6.25

    Draw

    Chance25.2%
    Odds3.6

    Penarol

    Chance60.4%
    Odds1.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Penarol at 1.5

    CerroPenarol
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model52%48%
    Overall19%81%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Cerro scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Cerro conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Cerro vs Penarol: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

    Cerro meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 19 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Cerro vs Penarol FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Cerro vs Penarol?

    Kickoff is 19:30 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Cerro vs Penarol?

    Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Cerro vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats