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Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaTue, 28 Apr 2026

Botafogo

Tue, 28 Apr 202623:00

3 : 0

Live

Independiente Petrolero

Pre-match win probability

87.7%Botafogo8.6%Draw3.6%Independiente Petrolero

Our prediction

Botafogo

Botafogo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.08
Confidence87.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Botafogo 87.7%
  • Draw 8.6%
  • Independiente Petrolero 3.6%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

BotafogoIndependiente Petrolero

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X88.8%
X211.2%

Match result

Botafogo1.08
Draw11
Independiente Petrolero26

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance88.8%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance11.2%
Odds8

Botafogo

Chance87.7%
Odds1.08

Draw

Chance8.6%
Odds11

Independiente Petrolero

Chance3.6%
Odds26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Botafogo at 1.08

BotafogoIndependiente Petrolero
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall96%4%

Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Tue, 28 Apr 2026

Botafogo meet Independiente Petrolero in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 28 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Botafogo at 1.08. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 87.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero FAQs

4 questions

What time is Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 28 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Botafogo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.08. The margin-adjusted share is about 87.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero prediction, H2H and stats