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San Lorenzo vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaTue, 28 Apr 2026

San Lorenzo

WDWDD

Tue, 28 Apr 202623:00

1 : 1

Live

Santos

DDLDW

Pre-match win probability

32.8%San Lorenzo32.8%Draw34.4%Santos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence34.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • San Lorenzo 32.8%
  • Draw 32.8%
  • Santos 34.4%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

San LorenzoSantos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.4% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

San Lorenzo2.88
Draw2.88
Santos2.75

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.4

San Lorenzo

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

Santos

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

San LorenzoSantos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

San Lorenzo vs Santos: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Tue, 28 Apr 2026

San Lorenzo meet Santos in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 28 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 2.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

San Lorenzo vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is San Lorenzo vs Santos?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 28 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on San Lorenzo vs Santos?

Santos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

San Lorenzo vs Santos prediction, H2H and stats