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Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 3 Jan 2026

Bournemouth

6th in table · 57 pts

LWWWW

Sat, 3 Jan 202618:30

1 : 0

Live

Arsenal

1st in table · 85 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

14.5%Bournemouth19.9%Draw65.6%Arsenal

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Bournemouth

Bournemouth vs Arsenal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence65.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bournemouth 14.5%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Arsenal 65.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BournemouthArsenal
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.9
Wins
1326
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bournemouth6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanW
  • 18 OctBournemouth2 – 0SunderlandW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthL
Arsenal7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 27 OctFleetwood Town1 – 1ArsenalD
  • 24 OctArsenal2 – 0EvertonW
  • 21 OctBayern München2 – 2ArsenalD
  • 18 OctNottingham Forest0 – 1ArsenalW
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleW
H2H
Head to headBournemouth 3W · 1D · Arsenal 5W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 11 AprArsenal1 – 2Bournemouth
  • 3 MayArsenal1 – 2Bournemouth
  • 19 OctBournemouth2 – 0Arsenal
  • 25 JulArsenal1 – 1Bournemouth
  • 4 MayArsenal3 – 0Bournemouth
  • 30 SeptBournemouth0 – 4Arsenal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X29.8%
X270.2%

Match result

Bournemouth6.5
Draw4.75
Arsenal1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

Bournemouth

Chance14.5%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Arsenal

Chance65.6%
Odds1.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.11

BournemouthArsenal
Recent form47%53%
Attack55%45%
Defence48%52%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall18%82%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Bournemouth scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Bournemouth conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

Bournemouth meet Arsenal in the England, Premier League on 3 January 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bournemouth vs Arsenal?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bournemouth vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.