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Brighton vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 3 Jan 2026

Brighton

8th in table · 53 pts

WWWDL

Sat, 3 Jan 202616:00

2 : 0

Full time

Burnley

19th in table · 22 pts

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

65.4%Brighton21.1%Draw13.5%Burnley

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Brighton

Brighton vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Brighton 65.4%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Burnley 13.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BrightonBurnley
Goals scored (avg)
2.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–
Wins
144
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Brighton6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonL
  • 22 OctFK Jablonec0 – 0BrightonD
  • 18 OctBrighton5 – 0Crystal PalaceW
  • 15 OctBrighton4 – 0Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 10 OctSunderland0 – 2BrightonW
Burnley0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headBrighton 3W · 5D · Burnley 1W · 2.1 goals a game
    • 11 AprBurnley0 – 2Brighton
    • 13 AprBurnley1 – 1Brighton
    • 9 DecBrighton1 – 1Burnley
    • 19 FebBrighton0 – 3Burnley
    • 14 AugBurnley1 – 2Brighton
    • 6 FebBurnley1 – 1Brighton

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
    3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X70.4%
    X229.6%

    Match result

    Brighton1.45
    Draw4.5
    Burnley7

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance70.4%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance29.6%
    Odds2.62

    Brighton

    Chance65.4%
    Odds1.45

    Draw

    Chance21.1%
    Odds4.5

    Burnley

    Chance13.5%
    Odds7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

    BrightonBurnley
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack72%28%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model72%28%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall83%17%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    Brighton scored 2.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Brighton conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

    Brighton vs Burnley: prediction & preview

    England · Premier League · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

    Brighton meet Burnley in the England, Premier League on 3 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Brighton at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Brighton vs Burnley FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Brighton vs Burnley?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Brighton vs Burnley?

    Brighton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.