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Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 23 Aug 2026

Brighton

DWWWD

Sun, 23 Aug 202614:00

4 : 0

Full time

Aston Villa

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Brighton26.3%Draw30.6%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Home · Brighton

Brighton vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Brighton 43.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Aston Villa 30.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BrightonAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Brighton2.2
Draw3.6
Aston Villa3.1

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Brighton

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Aston Villa

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.2

BrightonAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Brighton vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Brighton meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Brighton at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Brighton vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Brighton vs Aston Villa?

Brighton is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats