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Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle

DLLWL

Sun, 23 Aug 202616:30

2 : 2

Full time

Liverpool

DL

Pre-match win probability

23.9%Newcastle25.8%Draw50.3%Liverpool

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Newcastle

Newcastle vs Liverpool listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence50.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Newcastle 23.9%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Liverpool 50.3%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

NewcastleLiverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Newcastle4
Draw3.7
Liverpool1.9

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Newcastle

Chance23.9%
Odds4

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Liverpool

Chance50.3%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.25

NewcastleLiverpool
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Newcastle vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle meet Liverpool in the England, Premier League on 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Newcastle vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is Newcastle vs Liverpool?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Newcastle vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and stats