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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 26 Sept 2026

Bulgaria

DLWW

Sat, 26 Sept 202617:00

1 : 2

Full time

Luxembourg

WL

Pre-match win probability

39.8%Bulgaria33.4%Draw26.7%Luxembourg

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bulgaria

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence39.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bulgaria 39.8%
  • Draw 33.4%
  • Luxembourg 26.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

BulgariaLuxembourg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.3% · 1.144.6% · 5
1.5 goals14.8% · 1.5710.3% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.4% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.7% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Bulgaria2.35
Draw2.8
Luxembourg3.5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Bulgaria

Chance39.8%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance33.4%
Odds2.8

Luxembourg

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

BulgariaLuxembourg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Bulgaria meet Luxembourg in the World, UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bulgaria at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?

Bulgaria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction, H2H and stats