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Iceland vs Estonia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 26 Sept 2026

Iceland

Sat, 26 Sept 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

Estonia

Pre-match win probability

73.7%Iceland17.8%Draw8.5%Estonia

Our prediction

Iceland

Iceland is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.27
Confidence73.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Iceland 73.7%
  • Draw 17.8%
  • Estonia 8.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

IcelandEstonia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X76.6%
X223.4%

Match result

Iceland1.27
Draw5.25
Estonia11

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance76.6%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance23.4%
Odds3.4

Iceland

Chance73.7%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance17.8%
Odds5.25

Estonia

Chance8.5%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Iceland at 1.27

IcelandEstonia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Iceland vs Estonia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Iceland meet Estonia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Iceland at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Iceland vs Estonia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Iceland vs Estonia?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Iceland vs Estonia?

Iceland is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Iceland vs Estonia prediction, H2H and stats