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Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Catarinense - 1Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Carlos Renaux

Thu, 26 Feb 202623:30

2 : 0

Live

Marcílio Dias

Pre-match win probability

27.7%Carlos Renaux26.9%Draw45.4%Marcílio Dias

Our prediction

Marcílio Dias

Marcílio Dias is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence45.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Carlos Renaux 27.7%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Marcílio Dias 45.4%

Season statistics

Catarinense - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Carlos RenauxMarcílio Dias

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X36%
X264%

Match result

Carlos Renaux3.2
Draw3.3
Marcílio Dias1.95

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance36%
Odds2.1

X2

Chance64%
Odds1.18

Carlos Renaux

Chance27.7%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

Marcílio Dias

Chance45.4%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Marcílio Dias at 1.95

Carlos RenauxMarcílio Dias
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias: prediction & preview

Brazil · Catarinense - 1 · Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Carlos Renaux meet Marcílio Dias in the Brazil, Catarinense - 1 on 26 February 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marcílio Dias at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias FAQs

4 questions

What time is Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 26 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?

Marcílio Dias is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias prediction, H2H and stats