Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Casa Pia

DWDLL

Sat, 14 Feb 202616:30

3 : 2

Full time

Arouca

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

34%Casa Pia30.1%Draw35.9%Arouca

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 34%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Arouca 35.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaArouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Casa Pia2.75
Draw3.1
Arouca2.6

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Casa Pia

Chance34%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Arouca

Chance35.9%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

Casa PiaArouca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Casa Pia vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Casa Pia meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 14 February 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arouca at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs Arouca?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Arouca?

Arouca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Casa Pia vs Arouca prediction, H2H and stats