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Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 14 Feb 2026

Guimaraes

LWLLW

Sat, 14 Feb 202619:00

2 : 1

Full time

Estrela

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

56.5%Guimaraes26.6%Draw16.9%Estrela

Our prediction

1X · Guimaraes

Guimaraes vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence56.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes 56.5%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Estrela 16.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

GuimaraesEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X65.9%
X234.1%

Match result

Guimaraes1.65
Draw3.5
Estrela5.5

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

Guimaraes

Chance56.5%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.5

Estrela

Chance16.9%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.14

GuimaraesEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Guimaraes vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Guimaraes meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guimaraes vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guimaraes vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guimaraes vs Estrela?

Guimaraes is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guimaraes vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats