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Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Casa Pia

Sat, 12 Sept 202618:00

1 : 4

Full time

FC Porto

Pre-match win probability

8.5%Casa Pia13.4%Draw78.1%FC Porto

Our prediction

Away · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs FC Porto listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence78.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 8.5%
  • Draw 13.4%
  • FC Porto 78.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaFC Porto

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X20.8%
X279.2%

Match result

Casa Pia11
Draw7
FC Porto1.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance20.8%
Odds4

X2

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

Casa Pia

Chance8.5%
Odds11

Draw

Chance13.4%
Odds7

FC Porto

Chance78.1%
Odds1.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.2

Casa PiaFC Porto
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall10%90%

Casa Pia vs FC Porto: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Casa Pia meet FC Porto in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs FC Porto FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs FC Porto?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs FC Porto?

FC Porto is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Casa Pia vs FC Porto prediction, H2H and stats