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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 4 May 2026

Chelsea

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Mon, 4 May 202615:00

1 : 3

Full time

Nottingham Forest

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Chelsea24.3%Draw20%Nottingham Forest

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 55.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Nottingham Forest 20%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaNottingham Forest

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Chelsea1.7
Draw3.9
Nottingham Forest4.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Chelsea

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Nottingham Forest

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.44

ChelseaNottingham Forest
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 4 May 2026

Chelsea meet Nottingham Forest in the England, Premier League on 4 May 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest prediction, H2H and stats