Get Premium

Everton vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 4 May 2026

Everton

LLDWL

Mon, 4 May 202620:00

3 : 3

Full time

Manchester City

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

14.5%Everton19.9%Draw65.6%Manchester City

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Everton

Everton vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence65.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Everton 14.5%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Manchester City 65.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

EvertonManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X29.8%
X270.2%

Match result

Everton6.5
Draw4.75
Manchester City1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

Everton

Chance14.5%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Manchester City

Chance65.6%
Odds1.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.53

EvertonManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall18%82%

Everton vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 4 May 2026

Everton meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 4 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Everton vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Everton vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Everton vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Everton vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats