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Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 17 Mar 2026

Chelsea

Tue, 17 Mar 202621:00

0 : 3

Full time

Paris Saint Germain

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Chelsea22%Draw32.8%Paris Saint Germain

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 45.3%
  • Draw 22%
  • Paris Saint Germain 32.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaParis Saint Germain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X56%
X244%

Match result

Chelsea2.1
Draw4.33
Paris Saint Germain2.9

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance56%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44%
Odds1.73

Chelsea

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.33

Paris Saint Germain

Chance32.8%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 2.1

ChelseaParis Saint Germain
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 17 Mar 2026

Chelsea meet Paris Saint Germain in the World, UEFA Champions League on 17 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 17 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain prediction, H2H and stats