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Manchester City vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 17 Mar 2026

Manchester City

DLWDW

Tue, 17 Mar 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

66.9%Manchester City16.5%Draw16.5%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Home · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence66.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 66.9%
  • Draw 16.5%
  • Real Madrid 16.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.113.7% · 6.5
2.5 goals17% · 1.48% · 3
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.3% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X69.7%
X230.3%

Match result

Manchester City1.42
Draw5.75
Real Madrid5.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance69.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance30.3%
Odds2.62

Manchester City

Chance66.9%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance16.5%
Odds5.75

Real Madrid

Chance16.5%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.42

Manchester CityReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 17 Mar 2026

Manchester City meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 17 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 68.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 17 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Real Madrid?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats