Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 5 Apr 2026

Club Queretaro

Sun, 5 Apr 202600:00

1 : 0

Full time

Toluca

Pre-match win probability

16.5%Club Queretaro23.1%Draw60.4%Toluca

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence60.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Club Queretaro 16.5%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Toluca 60.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Club QueretaroToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X33.1%
X266.9%

Match result

Club Queretaro5.75
Draw4.1
Toluca1.57

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

Club Queretaro

Chance16.5%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Toluca

Chance60.4%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.57

Club QueretaroToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall21%79%

Club Queretaro vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Club Queretaro meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Club Queretaro vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Club Queretaro vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Club Queretaro vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Club Queretaro vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats