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Leon vs Atlas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 5 Apr 2026

Leon

Sun, 5 Apr 202602:06

2 : 0

Full time

Atlas

Pre-match win probability

42.8%Leon27.7%Draw29.4%Atlas

Our prediction

Leon

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leon 42.8%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Atlas 29.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

LeonAtlas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Leon2.2
Draw3.4
Atlas3.2

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Leon

Chance42.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Atlas

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leon at 2.2

LeonAtlas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Leon vs Atlas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Leon meet Atlas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 5 April 2026 at 02:06 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leon at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leon vs Atlas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leon vs Atlas?

Kickoff is 02:06 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leon vs Atlas?

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leon vs Atlas prediction, H2H and stats