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Crewe vs Rochdale Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League TwoSat, 17 Oct 2026

Crewe

4th in table · 21 pts

WDWLL

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00

3 : 2

Full time

Rochdale

17th in table · 15 pts

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

51.4%Crewe25.1%Draw23.5%Rochdale

Our prediction

1X · Crewe

Crewe vs Rochdale listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence51.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Crewe 51.4%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Rochdale 23.5%

Season statistics

League Two · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CreweRochdale
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
54
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Crewe3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctChesterfield5 – 1CreweL
  • 20 OctExeter City2 – 0CreweL
  • 10 OctSwindon Town0 – 1CreweW
  • 6 OctBlackpool2 – 2CreweD
  • 3 OctCrewe3 – 1Bristol RoversW
Rochdale0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCrewe 2W · 4D · Rochdale 3W · 3.7 goals a game
    • 25 FebCrewe1 – 1Rochdale
    • 30 JulRochdale1 – 2Crewe
    • 24 AprCrewe1 – 1Rochdale
    • 9 JanRochdale3 – 3Crewe
    • 16 FebRochdale2 – 2Crewe
    • 6 FebCrewe2 – 0Rochdale

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X60.4%
    X239.6%

    Match result

    Crewe1.83
    Draw3.75
    Rochdale4

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance60.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance39.6%
    Odds1.91

    Crewe

    Chance51.4%
    Odds1.83

    Draw

    Chance25.1%
    Odds3.75

    Rochdale

    Chance23.5%
    Odds4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.25

    CreweRochdale
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model62%38%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall69%31%

    Trends

    Trend · League Two

    Crewe scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · League Two

    Crewe conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · League Two

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · League Two

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Crewe vs Rochdale: prediction & preview

    England · League Two · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

    Crewe meet Rochdale in the England, League Two on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Crewe at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Crewe vs Rochdale FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Crewe vs Rochdale?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Crewe vs Rochdale?

    Crewe is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.