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Cusco vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 21 May 2026

Cusco

4th in table · 1 pts

LWLLW

Thu, 21 May 202603:00

2 : 3

Full time

Independiente Medellin

3rd in table · 7 pts

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

39.4%Cusco27.8%Draw32.8%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Cusco

Cusco vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cusco 39.4%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Independiente Medellin 32.8%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CuscoIndependiente Medellin
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.9
Wins
02
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cusco5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctCusco3 – 1Sporting CristalW
  • 16 OctSport Huancayo2 – 1CuscoL
  • 12 OctCusco1 – 2Alianza LimaL
  • 19 SeptFC Cajamarca1 – 2CuscoW
  • 12 SeptCusco0 – 1FBC MelgarL
Independiente Medellin2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 29 OctInternacional de Bogota3 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasL
  • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
  • 12 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 2Independiente MedellinW
H2H
Head to headCusco 0W · 0D · Independiente Medellin 1W · 1 goals a game
  • 1 MayIndependiente Medellin1 – 0Cusco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Cusco2.4
Draw3.4
Independiente Medellin2.88

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Cusco

Chance39.4%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Independiente Medellin

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

CuscoIndependiente Medellin
Recent form65%35%
Attack56%44%
Defence58%42%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cusco conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Cusco vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 21 May 2026

Cusco meet Independiente Medellin in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 21 May 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cusco at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cusco vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?

Cusco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.