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Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 21 May 2026

Palmeiras

WWLWD

Thu, 21 May 202601:30

0 : 1

Full time

Cerro Porteno

LWDDW

Pre-match win probability

71.8%Palmeiras18.2%Draw10%Cerro Porteno

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence71.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 71.8%
  • Draw 18.2%
  • Cerro Porteno 10%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasCerro Porteno
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Palmeiras6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
Cerro Porteno5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctClub Sp. San Lorenzo1 – 3Cerro PortenoW
  • 18 OctCerro Porteno2 – 2Sportivo AmelianoD
  • 14 OctCerro Porteno2 – 2Club Sp. San LorenzoD
  • 10 OctSportivo Luqueno0 – 3Cerro PortenoW
  • 5 OctCerro Porteno0 – 22 de MayoL
H2H
Head to headPalmeiras 7W · 2D · Cerro Porteno 0W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 19 AugCerro Porteno0 – 1Palmeiras
  • 12 AugPalmeiras1 – 1Cerro Porteno
  • 30 AprCerro Porteno1 – 1Palmeiras
  • 8 MayCerro Porteno0 – 2Palmeiras
  • 10 AprPalmeiras1 – 0Cerro Porteno
  • 24 MayCerro Porteno0 – 3Palmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X75.2%
X224.8%

Match result

Palmeiras1.33
Draw5.25
Cerro Porteno9.5

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance75.2%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance24.8%
Odds3.25

Palmeiras

Chance71.8%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance18.2%
Odds5.25

Cerro Porteno

Chance10%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

PalmeirasCerro Porteno
Recent form53%47%
Attack48%52%
Defence56%44%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head89%11%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 21 May 2026

Palmeiras meet Cerro Porteno in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 21 May 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno FAQs

4 questions

What time is Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.