Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Dandenong Thunder

LLLLD

Sat, 21 Mar 202609:00

3 : 0

Full time

South Melbourne

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

32.6%Dandenong Thunder25.6%Draw41.7%South Melbourne

Our prediction

Away · Dandenong Thunder

Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Dandenong Thunder 32.6%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • South Melbourne 41.7%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL · highlighted side is stronger

Dandenong ThunderSouth Melbourne

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Dandenong Thunder2.75
Draw3.5
South Melbourne2.15

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Dandenong Thunder

Chance32.6%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

South Melbourne

Chance41.7%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.15

Dandenong ThunderSouth Melbourne
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne: prediction & preview

Australia · Victoria NPL · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Dandenong Thunder meet South Melbourne in the Australia, Victoria NPL on 21 March 2026 at 09:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is South Melbourne at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne FAQs

4 questions

What time is Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne?

Kickoff is 09:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne?

South Melbourne is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne prediction, H2H and stats