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Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 10 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting

LLWLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

2 : 3

Full time

Cerro

LDLLW

Pre-match win probability

51.5%Defensor Sporting27.9%Draw20.6%Cerro

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence51.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 51.5%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Cerro 20.6%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingCerro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Defensor Sporting1.73
Draw3.2
Cerro4.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Defensor Sporting

Chance51.5%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Cerro

Chance20.6%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Defensor SportingCerro
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Cerro in the Uruguay, Primera División on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro prediction, H2H and stats