Penarol vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Penarol

WDWDW

Sat, 10 Oct 202622:30

1 : 1

Full time

Progreso

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

66%Penarol21%Draw13%Progreso

Our prediction

Home · Penarol

Penarol vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence66%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 66%
  • Draw 21%
  • Progreso 13%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolProgreso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.2% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Penarol1.38
Draw4.33
Progreso7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

Penarol

Chance66%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance21%
Odds4.33

Progreso

Chance13%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.38

PenarolProgreso
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Penarol vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Penarol meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 10 October 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Progreso?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 66%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats