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Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 21 Mar 2026

Defensor Sporting

Sat, 21 Mar 202601:30

2 : 1

Full time

Club Nacional

Pre-match win probability

22.3%Defensor Sporting28.8%Draw48.8%Club Nacional

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence48.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 22.3%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Club Nacional 48.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingClub Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X40%
X260%

Match result

Defensor Sporting4
Draw3.1
Club Nacional1.83

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance40%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance60%
Odds1.2

Defensor Sporting

Chance22.3%
Odds4

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Club Nacional

Chance48.8%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Club Nacional at 1.83

Defensor SportingClub Nacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall31%69%

Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Club Nacional in the Uruguay, Primera División on 21 March 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional?

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Defensor Sporting vs Club Nacional prediction, H2H and stats