Get Premium

Penarol vs Cerro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 21 Mar 2026

Penarol

WDWWL

Sat, 21 Mar 202623:30

2 : 1

Live

Cerro

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

67.1%Penarol23.5%Draw9.4%Cerro

Our prediction

Home · Penarol

Penarol vs Cerro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence67.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 67.1%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Cerro 9.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolCerro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X73.9%
X226.1%

Match result

Penarol1.33
Draw3.8
Cerro9.5

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance73.9%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance26.1%
Odds3

Penarol

Chance67.1%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Cerro

Chance9.4%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.33

PenarolCerro
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Penarol vs Cerro: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Penarol meet Cerro in the Uruguay, Primera División on 21 March 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Cerro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Cerro?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Cerro?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Cerro prediction, H2H and stats