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Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 14 Feb 2026

Deportivo Maldonado

Sat, 14 Feb 202621:00

2 : 0

Full time

Progreso

Pre-match win probability

36.5%Deportivo Maldonado28.5%Draw35.1%Progreso

Our prediction

Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence36.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportivo Maldonado 36.5%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Progreso 35.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Deportivo MaldonadoProgreso

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Deportivo Maldonado0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headDeportivo Maldonado 3W · 3D · Progreso 3W · 2.1 goals a game
      • 16 AugProgreso0 – 2Deportivo Maldonado
      • 18 JulProgreso1 – 0Deportivo Maldonado
      • 6 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 2Progreso
      • 21 JulProgreso0 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
      • 31 MarProgreso3 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
      • 21 OctProgreso2 – 0Deportivo Maldonado

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.6% · 2.75
      2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
      3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

      Both teams to score

      Yes48.5%
      No51.5%

      Double chance

      1X50%
      X250%

      Match result

      Deportivo Maldonado2.5
      Draw3.2
      Progreso2.6

      Both teams to score

      Yes48.5% · 1.91
      No51.5% · 1.8

      1X

      Chance50%
      Odds1.44

      X2

      Chance50%
      Odds1.44

      Deportivo Maldonado

      Chance36.5%
      Odds2.5

      Draw

      Chance28.5%
      Odds3.2

      Progreso

      Chance35.1%
      Odds2.6

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Deportivo Maldonado at 2.5

      Deportivo MaldonadoProgreso
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head50%50%
      Overall51%49%

      Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso: prediction & preview

      Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

      Deportivo Maldonado meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 14 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportivo Maldonado at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

      Deportivo Maldonado is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.