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Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 14 Feb 2026

Liverpool Montevideo

WL

Sat, 14 Feb 202601:30

1 : 2

Full time

Defensor Sporting

DDD

Pre-match win probability

41.5%Liverpool Montevideo29.7%Draw28.8%Defensor Sporting

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Liverpool Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool Montevideo 41.5%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Defensor Sporting 28.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Liverpool MontevideoDefensor Sporting

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Liverpool Montevideo2.15
Draw3
Defensor Sporting3.1

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Liverpool Montevideo

Chance41.5%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Defensor Sporting

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

Liverpool MontevideoDefensor Sporting
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Liverpool Montevideo meet Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay, Primera División on 14 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool Montevideo at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting prediction, H2H and stats