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Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 16 Jul 2026

Derry City

WWLWW

Thu, 16 Jul 202618:30

1 : 2

Full time

CSKA Sofia

WWWDL

Pre-match win probability

24.6%Derry City23.4%Draw52%CSKA Sofia

Our prediction

Away · Derry City

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derry City 24.6%
  • Draw 23.4%
  • CSKA Sofia 52%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Derry CityCSKA Sofia
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derry City6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 23 OctDerry City2 – 1DundalkW
  • 19 OctDerry City1 – 0St Patrick's Athl.W
  • 16 OctDrogheda United2 – 0Derry CityL
  • 10 OctGalway United0 – 2Derry CityW
  • 18 SeptDerry City1 – 0Galway UnitedW
CSKA Sofia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDerry City 0W · 0D · CSKA Sofia 1W · 5 goals a game
    • 9 JulCSKA Sofia3 – 2Derry City

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
    1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
    3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X39%
    X261%

    Match result

    Derry City3.7
    Draw3.9
    CSKA Sofia1.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance39%
    Odds1.91

    X2

    Chance61%
    Odds1.22

    Derry City

    Chance24.6%
    Odds3.7

    Draw

    Chance23.4%
    Odds3.9

    CSKA Sofia

    Chance52%
    Odds1.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 1.75

    Derry CityCSKA Sofia
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model66%34%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall32%68%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Europa League

    Derry City scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Europa League

    Derry City conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Europa League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · UEFA Europa League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Derry City vs CSKA Sofia: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 16 Jul 2026

    Derry City meet CSKA Sofia in the World, UEFA Europa League on 16 July 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is CSKA Sofia at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Derry City vs CSKA Sofia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?

    Kickoff is 18:30 on 16 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Derry City vs CSKA Sofia?

    CSKA Sofia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 52%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.