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Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 3. LigaFri, 8 May 2026

Erzgebirge Aue

18th in table · 34 pts

DLLLW

Fri, 8 May 202618:00

0 : 0

Full time

MSV Duisburg

4th in table · 68 pts

WWWDL

Pre-match win probability

21.2%Erzgebirge Aue22.2%Draw56.6%MSV Duisburg

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Erzgebirge Aue

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence56.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Erzgebirge Aue 21.2%
  • Draw 22.2%
  • MSV Duisburg 56.6%

Season statistics

3. Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Erzgebirge AueMSV Duisburg
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.5
Wins
719
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Erzgebirge Aue4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctFSV Zwickau0 – 3Erzgebirge AueW
  • 18 OctErzgebirge Aue0 – 1Hallescher FCL
  • 11 OctGreifswalder FC1 – 0Erzgebirge AueL
  • 27 SeptErzgebirge Aue1 – 2BSG Chemie LeipzigL
  • 19 SeptFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2 – 2Erzgebirge AueD
MSV Duisburg6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctFC Ingolstadt 042 – 1MSV DuisburgL
  • 18 OctMSV Duisburg1 – 1FC Viktoria KölnD
  • 13 OctFC Saarbrücken2 – 4MSV DuisburgW
  • 10 OctMSV Duisburg3 – 2Hoffenheim IIW
  • 20 SeptSV Wehen1 – 4MSV DuisburgW
H2H
Head to headErzgebirge Aue 1W · 4D · MSV Duisburg 4W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 13 DecMSV Duisburg0 – 0Erzgebirge Aue
  • 12 MayMSV Duisburg2 – 2Erzgebirge AUE
  • 9 DecErzgebirge AUE1 – 1MSV Duisburg
  • 5 MayMSV Duisburg3 – 0Erzgebirge AUE
  • 8 NovErzgebirge AUE0 – 2MSV Duisburg
  • 24 FebErzgebirge AUE0 – 0MSV Duisburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X34.2%
X265.8%

Match result

Erzgebirge Aue4.2
Draw4
MSV Duisburg1.57

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

X2

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

Erzgebirge Aue

Chance21.2%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance22.2%
Odds4

MSV Duisburg

Chance56.6%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.17

Erzgebirge AueMSV Duisburg
Recent form42%58%
Attack35%65%
Defence53%47%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · 3. Liga

Erzgebirge Aue scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 3. Liga

Erzgebirge Aue conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 3. Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · 3. Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg: prediction & preview

Germany · 3. Liga · Fri, 8 May 2026

Erzgebirge Aue meet MSV Duisburg in the Germany, 3. Liga on 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is MSV Duisburg at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 8 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.