France vs Belgium Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France

DWWLL

Mon, 5 Oct 202619:45

4 : 1

Full time

Belgium

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

63.5%France20.9%Draw15.7%Belgium

Our prediction

1X · France

France vs Belgium listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence63.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • France 63.5%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • Belgium 15.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

FranceBelgium

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X70.1%
X229.9%

Match result

France1.48
Draw4.5
Belgium6

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

France

Chance63.5%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance20.9%
Odds4.5

Belgium

Chance15.7%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.12

FranceBelgium
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

France vs Belgium: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

France meet Belgium in the World, UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is France at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

France vs Belgium FAQs

4 questions

What time is France vs Belgium?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on France vs Belgium?

France is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

France vs Belgium prediction, H2H and stats