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Gremio vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 26 Feb 2026

Gremio

DDLWW

Thu, 26 Feb 202601:30

2 : 1

Full time

Atletico-MG

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

42.3%Gremio29.7%Draw28%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Gremio

Gremio vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 42.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Atletico-MG 28%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GremioAtletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Gremio2.25
Draw3.2
Atletico-MG3.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Gremio

Chance42.3%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Atletico-MG

Chance28%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

GremioAtletico-MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Gremio vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Gremio meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 26 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 26 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Atletico-MG?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gremio vs Atletico-MG prediction, H2H and stats