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Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 26 Feb 2026

Palmeiras

Thu, 26 Feb 202601:30

2 : 1

Full time

Fluminense

Pre-match win probability

57.6%Palmeiras24.4%Draw18.1%Fluminense

Our prediction

Palmeiras

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 57.6%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Fluminense 18.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasFluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.6% · 1.912.6% · 1.9
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Palmeiras1.65
Draw3.9
Fluminense5.25

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Palmeiras

Chance57.6%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Fluminense

Chance18.1%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Palmeiras at 1.65

PalmeirasFluminense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Palmeiras vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Palmeiras meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 26 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 26 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction, H2H and stats