Gremio vs Botafogo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 5 Feb 2026

Gremio

Thu, 5 Feb 202601:30

5 : 3

Full time

Botafogo

Pre-match win probability

41.3%Gremio30.7%Draw28%Botafogo

Our prediction

Gremio

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence41.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 41.3%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Botafogo 28%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GremioBotafogo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X54.7%
X245.3%

Match result

Gremio2.3
Draw3.1
Botafogo3.4

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

Gremio

Chance41.3%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Botafogo

Chance28%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Gremio at 2.3

GremioBotafogo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Gremio vs Botafogo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 5 Feb 2026

Gremio meet Botafogo in the Brazil, Serie A on 5 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Botafogo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Botafogo?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 5 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Botafogo?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gremio vs Botafogo prediction, H2H and stats