Santos vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 5 Feb 2026

Santos

Thu, 5 Feb 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

Pre-match win probability

43.6%Santos28.8%Draw27.6%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Santos

Santos is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santos 43.6%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Sao Paulo 27.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

SantosSao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Santos2.15
Draw3.25
Sao Paulo3.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Santos

Chance43.6%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.25

Sao Paulo

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Santos at 2.15

SantosSao Paulo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Santos vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 5 Feb 2026

Santos meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 5 February 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Santos vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Santos vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 5 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Santos vs Sao Paulo?

Santos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Santos vs Sao Paulo prediction, H2H and stats