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Gremio vs Palestino Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaThu, 21 May 2026

Gremio

2nd in table · 11 pts

DDDLW

Thu, 21 May 202601:00

2 : 0

Full time

Palestino

4th in table · 3 pts

WLWDD

Pre-match win probability

65.4%Gremio21.1%Draw13.5%Palestino

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Gremio

Gremio vs Palestino listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 65.4%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Palestino 13.5%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GremioPalestino
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.4
Wins
30
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gremio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
Palestino5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPalestino1 – 1Colo ColoD
  • 12 OctDeportes Limache2 – 2PalestinoD
  • 1 OctAlianza Lima1 – 2PalestinoW
  • 13 SeptPalestino2 – 3U. CatolicaL
  • 6 SeptPalestino2 – 1Universidad de ConcepcionW
H2H
Head to headGremio 0W · 1D · Palestino 0W · 0 goals a game
  • 30 AprPalestino0 – 0Gremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

Gremio1.45
Draw4.5
Palestino7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.62

Gremio

Chance65.4%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

Palestino

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

GremioPalestino
Recent form41%59%
Attack44%56%
Defence50%50%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Gremio scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Gremio conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Gremio vs Palestino: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu, 21 May 2026

Gremio meet Palestino in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Palestino FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Palestino?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Palestino?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.